Traffic

When a Traffic Drop Is Seasonal vs a Real Problem

Not every drop is a problem — some industries have entirely normal seasonal traffic patterns worth ruling out before assuming something's broken.

Compare against the same period last year

A year-over-year comparison, rather than just looking at last month, reveals whether a drop matches a recurring seasonal pattern or represents a genuine, new deviation worth investigating.

Check whether competitors show similar patterns

If publicly available data or general industry commentary suggests competitors saw a similar dip around the same time, that's evidence pointing toward an industry-wide seasonal or market factor rather than a site-specific problem.

Look at the shape of the decline

A gradual, predictable decline over weeks looks different from a sudden, sharp drop overnight. Sudden drops are far more likely to indicate a technical issue, penalty, or specific event than a genuine, slower seasonal pattern.

When in doubt, rule out technical causes anyway

Even if a drop looks plausibly seasonal, a quick check for technical issues (indexing errors, broken pages, accidental noindex tags) costs little and rules out a coincidental technical problem masquerading as seasonality.

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